2012年11月15日星期四

Correction: Changing Electorate story

The 2012 elections drove home trends that have been embedded in the fine print of birth and death rates, immigration statistics and census charts for years. The trend has worked to the advantage of President Barack Obama two elections in a row now and is not lost on Republicans poring over the details of Tuesday's results. Ask Hispanics the same question, and 58 percent think the government should do more, as do 73 percent of blacks, exit polls show. Look no further than the battleground states of Campaign 2012 for political ramifications flowing from the country's changing demographics. Obama won most of the battlegrounds with a message that was more in sync than Romney's with minorities, women and younger voters, and by carefully targeting his grassroots mobilizing efforts to reach those groups. Obama got just 31 percent of the state's white vote, but managed to keep it competitive by claiming 96 percent of black voters and 68 percent of Hispanics. Howard University sociologist Roderick Harrison, former chief of racial statistics at the Census Bureau, said Obama's campaign strategists proved themselves to be "excellent demographers." Brookings Institution demographer William H. Frey says policymakers and politicians need to prepare for a growing "cultural generation gap." [...] the politics is catching up with the demography. Former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, one of the GOP's most prominent black women, said the party needs to understand that "the changing demographics in the country really necessitate an even bigger tent for the Republican Party." By midcentury, Hispanics, blacks, Asians and multiracial people combined will become the majority of the U.S. Since 2000, the Hispanic and Asian populations have grown by more than 40 percent, fueled by increased immigration of younger people as well as more births.

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